India does not have to compete with China; India will have to choose between the power and the power of the people that will come out of the gun

"What can India do to move Myanmar away from further violence?" written by former Indian Ambassador to Myanmar Gautam Mukhopadhaya in the Indian online journal The WIRE. Excerpted from a long article.

Staying close to home is not the right thing to do when a house is on fire. Currently, China is taking advantage of the fact that the world is falling apart in Burma, while India can no longer sit back and watch.

 The current Indian policy of relying on the Burmese coup group to contain China is even more questionable. Burma's military, according to history and tradition, is against China both militarily and militarily. Special attention is paid to the influx of people.

 However, in 1988, when the army killed their people, 2017 (Rohingya), And whenever it happens like this, China has taken advantage of the international ostracism. The army is weak domestically and has always had to make concessions to China. Can that position ensure India's security? 

China is now stretching its arms from the Bay of Bengal to the Gulf of Muttama.Under former President Thein Sein, the Western Group United States Japan With the restoration of relations with India and the Burmese people's dissatisfaction with the Chinese encroachment interms of population, the situation has deteriorated. Anti-Chinese views are now growing, with suspicions that China may be behind the coup.

Therefore, achieving democracy where the people of Burma have full say can be more beneficial for India than having the Burmese army suffer because of China. It is uncertain whether he will wait for the time when he will become himself. Only if the mother and father try to do so, there may be political relations. 

India will not be able to compete with the Chinese in terms of being favored by the Burmese military. 

The more this is done, the stronger the view that the Burmese people are encouraging and supporting the military will become, and it may become as if they are creating damage to India's interests. 

Therefore, India can only use its democratic and economic power to be in line with the wishes of the Burmese people, as opposed to China's path. There will be no benefit if the Burmese military side, which is oppressive and ruled by China, stands still.What India should do is to secretly communicate with the National Unity Government and the main ethnic armed organizations.

 The Burmese military does not come up with any ideas other than holding on to the 2008 constitution, which is currently impossible. Than Shwe's plan is nothing more than the ideology of wanting to dominate from behind by putting on a show and dominating in the form of a civilian government.

The PR election they will hold is not to be seen as official in any way at home and abroad, and the people who will oversee the election are being attacked by the revolutionary forces, and they are not scolding them for it to happen.

The ASEAN side has tried to negotiate with the opposition forces, but there is no prospect of doing so.Young people, who are the most part of Myanmar's population base, are concerned about their future opportunities,They have decided to make sacrifices for the right to live and travel freely.

Now, it is inconceivable that the army will be able to regain control of the entire country. However, only the federal democratic union that will participate in the military will be able to protect Myanmar from becoming a Balkan region. Therefore, India needs to review the Myanmar policy. There is a need to think 

 more balance between the power that will come out of the gun and the power that will come from the people.Will the power that comes out of the gun be revealed to be beneficial to India? Or we will have to think about whether freedom and democracy are the real values ​​for India. In the current situation, accepting and resettling the fleeing refugees; Among them, the students awarding scholarships to scholars; Political investments should have been made, such as providing medicine and humanitarian aid.The people's resistance and struggle will surely win!!!

writting by Hla Soe Wei